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June 1, 2005

Tangled up in stats

Another milestone is approaching with the official "provisional" figures. The combined opposition forces of the CUD and the UEDF are now just six seats away from claiming a third of the House of People's Representatives. (They need more than 182 seats for this).

With a third of the seats, they would for the first time be able to table their own bills and initiate their own debates. They could also block major moves like changes to the constitution (which needs a two-thirds majority according to that same constitution).

Of course everything is still up in the air at the moment. The CUD and the UEDF still claim that they have won the full election. The National Election Board is currently looking into allegations of voting irregularities in more than 200 constituencies, based on complaints made by all sides. The elections in the Somali region (with their 23 seats) won't start until August. And there are still 14 official results to come in from the May 15 count.

But it is still a milestone worth marking.

I had an interesting interview with Beyene Petros of the UEDF about this, as part of an article for IPS. I will post his quotes as soon as it is published.

Posted by aheavens at June 1, 2005 9:59 AM

Comments

Yes and No. The election board statistics is no more valid as it is proved by so many circumstances. It published results for EPRDF which already claimed by CUD. It looks like that the NEB is legitmizing the ruling party claim for victory but People are waiting for soutions for the 139 or so complaints. It is only then we can go to the next steps. The Ethiopian people will not harrassed by the empty barrel propaganda of the ruling party but will defend their vote if it is proved that it is stolen, which is the case in most of the places in East Gojam and Oromia region

Thanks

Posted by: Kibruyisfa at June 1, 2005 3:38 PM

"Truth And Dawn Unfold as Time Goes On"! This is a popular Ethiopian proverb which means that truth prevails and darkness phases. Today the game is about counting ballots, requesting investigation, inviting observers, declaring state of emergency, controlling the media, harrassing and killing our poor fellow citizens.
Regardless, what Ethiopians need is an all representative government that works for all its citizens equally and has the capacity to keep the people and the land together. As we know from Mr. Meles and his government, this is by no means possible for the obvious reasons that I don't bother mentioning. When Ethiopians decided to have a system change during the 1974 revolution, they started with taxi drivers protesting against the high price of gasoline, teachers objecting the sector review and the military asking for wage increase. These were all damn excuses. What they really wanted was the removal of the monarchy. Dear Ethiopians, the same holds true today. What Ethiopians are really asking for is the removal of a narrow nationalist and hostile EPRDF or Woyane government. This is the truth. It's just a matter of time before it happens. If I were Mr. Meles or one of his people, I would seriously think about being a refugee in another country. I am not joking at all because I was a refugee myself some years ago. This will happen eventually. Ethiopia will Rise Again! The wise flourishes and the foolish vanishes!
Thank you and keep up the good work! Peace!

Posted by: Sahlu Bekele at June 1, 2005 4:18 PM

sahlu

what you are provoking, i.e. for the overthrough of the current government would never happen. this is not a revolution but rather a democratic election. even if meles looses his power, he still qualifies to be a member of parliament as he is elected by his constituency. ethiopian people did not go out in huge numbers on may 15 for it to end up killing each other. they have seen it all and even though this old politicians on both sides have not realised it yet and are trying their best to hijack it.

people went out to elect who they want to adminster them. no one should take away their rights and all rigging should be investigated and re-election in those constituenties that were found to be rigged. so, my advise to those arm chair politicians and even those real party leaders that reckon some sort of chaos would come out of this; you really have not caught up what is going on in ethiopia. people have understood the power of the ballot. they are way ahead of you politicians, civilised and orderly. the chaos of the 70s brought in the derg and we know what that has led to, so dont even compare the two.

the only problem now is how long is it going to take the so called political elites to analyse what the people are saying. stop squabbling like drunken young men that just cant wait to start a fight to fill their ego. there is a law and order just as the people have waited for hours and hours in order to cast their vote. if you have grievances follow the law and raise the issue peacefully cause that is what ethiopians deserve.

some of you cant wait for some mess but in your wildest dreams. soon you will realise how far ahead people are. peace and democracy to ethiopia and soon the misery will disappear from the nation for once and for all.

Posted by: GM at June 1, 2005 5:47 PM

Mr. Bekele: Refugeeism, along with most other isms, is not the solution for Ethiopia. We must rise above the political battles of today and think what is good for the country in the long term. On my part I would love to see the day when the EPRDF folks play the role of the loyal opposition. Believe it or not, that day is not as far as we think it is. The only question is whether or not the EPRDF guys are prepared for such an eventuality.

Posted by: Fikru at June 1, 2005 6:22 PM

Just to come back and say more things about the situation. Yes, the Ethiopian people showed their anger and frustration against EPRDF. They showed that also by voting to the opositions. The claim by EPRDF is totaly wrong and they know it that they lost in Amhara, Oromia and the South. The only place they got 38 seats is in Tigray, where there were no contestants. The only way to go out of this mess is for EPRDF to hold a free election in the disputed areas and see the result.

Posted by: Kibruyisfa at June 2, 2005 7:26 AM

Too small power to too many ambitious power thirsty CUD members.

Posted by: Bekele Mulugeta at June 2, 2005 1:54 PM

It is sad to see people using the election as a vendetta. True the rulling party fought tooth and nail with X-Dergues and their catalysts, the dissent TPLF members, the corrupted business communities etc hence when trying to gear a nation in a right direction many criminals are affected hence bullging the number of enemies and now they are taking revenge with the ballot

Posted by: Aster at June 2, 2005 4:37 PM

Andrew,
i read your article published on IPS... question: you identified Netsanet Asfaw as Minister of Information..?? What happened to Bereket Simon?

please update us.

Posted by: Titi at June 2, 2005 6:23 PM

Netsanet Asfaw is the State Minister of Information, in effect the deputy minister.

Posted by: andrew at June 5, 2005 8:31 AM

I just can't understand of these diaspora so called Ethiopians, you are nothing but the curse of Ethiopia,(that's why they are in white mans land and in alien culture)GZOTT, all you know is complain, but you don't do anything to help the country out of its measry.
They just can't understand the complexity of Ethiopian politics, they make me lough if they think the avarge OROMO voter will vote The cheuvenist Amhara's party KINIGIT, just looking at the thier manifesto and the UEDF's, these opposition parties have nothing of similarity to work together.
Take for example, the CUD is bent avoiding the Federal structure, infavour of central government, while the UEDF, is in favour of complete loose federal structure among Ethiopian regions, so could some one tell me how these two polarized view can some how miraclously work together, God forbid if these parties came to power. HEY GUYS WAKE UP AND SMELL THE COFFEE. The Devil you know is better than the Angel you don't know, say's my Mother

Posted by: solomon at June 6, 2005 4:45 PM

What was the manifesto of CUD memders in Article 39?
please mail me a detail note of this question and guide me any sourses for this question.
thanks!!!

Posted by: Abinet at June 28, 2007 12:01 PM

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